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  • IFTF's Future Now draws on research and forecasting at the Institute for the Future, a Palo Alto, CA think tank specializing in the future of technology, health, and organizational change. It began in September 2003.

Who is Future Now?

  • IFTF's Future Now is a group weblog, founded by Institute research director Alex Soojung-Kim Pang in September 2003. Its contributors include IFTF researchers interested in emerging technologies, the future of Asia, and the social and economic impacts on new technologies; IFTF corporate affiliates; academic partners; and members of the Innovation Lab, a Danish futures group with offices in Aarhus and Copenhagen. A complete list of contributors is available here.

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July 06, 2007

Forward thinking cultures

Another interesting piece from the latest Harvard Business Review: Mansour Javidan's short article on forward-thinking cultures. It grows out of a much bigger global study Javidan has been conducting on culture and leadership.

By surveying over 17,000 middle managers in 61 societies, we have been able to discern clear differences in nine key areas. One of these is what we call “future orientation,” or the extent to which a culture encourages and rewards such behavior as delaying gratification, planning, and investing in the future....

We found that societies vary greatly in how oriented they actually are to the long term, but in most cultures people’s personal values and aspirations are similar and quite future oriented. What’s more, most people feel their cultures aren’t as forward thinking as they should be.

In our study, Singapore emerged as the most future oriented of cultures, followed by Switzerland, the Netherlands, and Malaysia. The least future oriented were Russia, Argentina, Poland, and Hungary. Squarely in the middle were Germany, Taiwan, Korea, and Ireland. Even more important, however, is our further finding that the greater a society’s future orientation, the higher its average GDP per capita and its levels of innovativeness, happiness, confidence, and (as the chart shows) competitiveness.

Javidan
Source: Mansour Javidan, "Forward-Thinking Cultures," Harvard Business Review (July/August 2007)

I can say that Javidan's conclusions track reasonably well with our (or at least my own) more anecdotal experience at the Institute: we have a disproportionate number of clients or inquiries from Singapore (Paul Saffo, invoking Buckminster Fuller, writes about "Spaceship Singapore"), Switzerland, and Scandinavia.

The chart also wouldn't be a bad proxy for investment (or at least spending) on government futures and forecasting.

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» Forward-Thinking Cultures from URENIO Portal: Innovation, Environments of Innovation, Intelligent Cities and Regions
Singapore is the most future-oriented country in the world, new research from Thunderbird business school reveals, whereas Russia is the least. Yet people the world over aspire to plan for the future, a fact global managers can use to inspire workers i... [Read More]

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