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  • IFTF's Future Now is a group weblog, founded by Institute research director Alex Soojung-Kim Pang in September 2003. Its contributors include IFTF researchers interested in emerging technologies, the future of Asia, and the social and economic impacts on new technologies; IFTF corporate affiliates; academic partners; and members of the Innovation Lab, a Danish futures group with offices in Aarhus and Copenhagen. A complete list of contributors is available here.

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June 04, 2006

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I think it is too simple to say that the Dunbar Number is "limit to the number of persons with which a person can maintain stable relationships". It is more about group size -- the larger the group, the more "grooming" time is required to maintain unstructured trust (the kind of trust that doesn't require rules).

In my series of articles on the Dunbar Number (of which you linked to the first one) I point out that in fact the limit of 150 is for survival groups who can afford the huge cost of grooming required (over a third of their time), and in fact most social groups max at about 50 (and I have a lot of evidence to back this up in subsequent articles).

However, this limit is only for groups that require unstructured trust -- you can think of it as that sort of unconscious evaluation of someone when you basically know that they are trustworthy. This kind of trust is a very primal thing.

Once you apply some rules and regulations, punishment and reward, you are creating a structure for trust, and thus can support larger groups. But the default for these type of groups is that you start out non trusting, and only gain trust progressively through the structured rules.

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