About the Institute for the Future

About Future Now


  • IFTF's Future Now draws on research and forecasting at the Institute for the Future, a Palo Alto, CA think tank specializing in the future of technology, health, and organizational change. It began in September 2003.

Who is Future Now?

  • IFTF's Future Now is a group weblog, founded by Institute research director Alex Soojung-Kim Pang in September 2003. Its contributors include IFTF researchers interested in emerging technologies, the future of Asia, and the social and economic impacts on new technologies; IFTF corporate affiliates; academic partners; and members of the Innovation Lab, a Danish futures group with offices in Aarhus and Copenhagen. A complete list of contributors is available here.

The Future of Cities - A conversation about global urbanization in the 21st century

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June 09, 2005

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Comments

Peter

I could actually imagine a few downsides here. (a side-note: I actually would riff a bit on the changes in futures markets from open outcry to automated trading - there, the assumption is that newer+faster=better, but it's not entirely clear that's the case in practice). But what you have in mind with your link to TR has to do with the cheap availability of new tech, I think.

So, the problem with cheap and easy (that is, social) technology comes when it is a displacing technology. Google has revolutionized search, but I actually think it makes my undergraduates just god-awful at doing research. They've outsourced their ability to find out stuff to google, so either it is very very easy, or it's impossible. If they want to find out information on a source of literature, or on actual events, they have a hard time doing so.

The irony is that it actually appears as if they are more sophisticated, better at learning, better at finding and mobilizing information. But that only is the case insofar as Google (and others) are on the case. Where google breaks down, it leaves my undergrads pretty helpless.

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